By Jeffrey Gleason
Nine weeks into the NFL season, no teams remain unbeaten. This could’ve actually been said after eight weeks, after seven weeks, and after six weeks as well. Week 5 was the last time an unbeaten team remained, when both the Cardinals and Bengals were sitting at 3-0.
However, after these same nine weeks, five teams remain unbeaten at home. The Patriots, Broncos, Eagles, Packers, and Cardinals have yet to lose on their own turf.
Home field advantage is a phenomenon that gets a lot of traction in sports. Experts often use it to justify their predictions and betting lines usually reflect the perceived advantage of the home side. However, people often generalize home field advantage with a “one size fits all” approach, acknowledging its presence, but assuming it displays a constant impact across different situations.
With five unbeaten NFL home teams and the recent impetus of a road team finally winning Game 7 of the World Series (the Giants topped the Royals on October 29th to capture their third championship in five years), I was interested in how home field advantage was quantitatively different in different situations. How does it vary across sports? Do both good teams and bad teams experience the same advantage? Is it magnified in the postseason? What about differences in earlier eras? These are the questions I set out to resolve.
Continue reading “There is No Place Like Home”
By Patrick Harrel A few years ago, NBA teams started installing the SportVU system in their stadiums to get proprietary player tracking data and an edge over the competition, a decision that cost them $100,000 a pop. In the run-up to the 2013-14 campaign, the rest of the league caught up, making the tracking system standard and releasing the data to the public. Today at … Continue reading MLB Unveils Field Tracking System at Sloan Sports Analytics Conference
By: Patrick Harrel
MLB Free Agency is upon us and with that comes players moving teams, crazy contracts, and MLB writers scrambling to get the latest rumors out of team executives. In the coming weeks, teams will start signing players, and as salary figures are tossed out, heads will spin.
Overpaying is sometimes just the cost of doing business in the MLB, a league without a salary cap, but often, that overpaying can be a killer blow to a franchise. In 2006, as the Astros were trying to put together another team that could go deep into the playoffs after reaching the World Series in 2005, they spent $13 million on Woody Williams and $100 million on Carlos Lee. Williams was released in spring training the following year, Lee hamstrung the Astros payroll for the next six seasons, and the Astros bottomed out to be the worst team in baseball for three seasons in a row.
Today, we discuss a pair of veteran free agents that teams should stay away from if they want to avoid the fate the Astros fell victim to in the winter of 2006. Continue reading “Buyer Beware: Two players to avoid in MLB Free Agency”
by Dylan Ackerman Last night, we got our first taste of real playoff baseball. Not that the one game Wild Card games are not important, but it’s only with the Division Series that teams are guaranteed to face each other multiple times. Last night gave us the first games in which the teams will meet again, so an understanding of what happened in each game … Continue reading NLDS Day One: What We Learned